Declining commodity prices affects developing countries

Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Pretoria - Developing countries are facing the harsh impact of declining commodity prices and export demand that is falling due to the global trade slowdown, says Trade and Industry Minister Rob Davies.

Speaking at the G20 Tarade Ministers meeting in Istanbul, Turkey, Minister Davies said the global trade slowdown has a disproportional impact on developing countries given the relative size of their economies and consequently their heavy reliance on international trade.

“This being the case, developing countries are facing the harsh impact of declining commodity prices and falling export demand that are attributable to global trade slowdown. Added to this, financing pressures are becoming more acute, and are expected to remain so for an extended period of time.

“Access to private trade finance has become hard to come by, and the prospects for foreign direct investment in particular will be challenging over the foreseeable future,” explained the Minister on Tuesday.

The meeting was focusing on the slowdown in global trade and how to make the multilateral trading system work better.

The meeting also focused on the implications of the global trade slowdown for the future of trade and at policy options to further integrate small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) into global value chains.

He added that the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) report (2014) also confirmed that the rate of income growth in developed economies since 2008 has been significantly lower than it was prior to the crisis, and statistical evidence also points to a considerable weakening of import elasticity of demand in these countries.

In order to address this, the Minister said, trade needs to support industrial development particularly in developing countries and should be seen as part of a wider economic development strategy with accompanying measures.

“Accordingly, trade policies must be strategically aligned with industrial policy objectives. A mix of policies that are critical to achieve a scaled-up industrial policy and a shift towards strengthening the productive side of the economy are required,” said Minister Davies.

He specified that developed countries can provide support to Africa’s infrastructure drive and to the efforts to stimulate the development of Africa’s regional industrial value chains.

“To enable the countries in Africa to integrate meaningfully into the world economy it will require infrastructure development and the building of production capacity and capabilities. In Africa, we have embarked on a process to build regional development integration through the upgrading of regional infrastructure and productive capacity,” said Minister Davies.

He said trade liberalisation has failed to deter Africa from relying heavily on exporting primary commodities to the rest of the world.

According to Minister Davies, broadening and upgrading the industrial base to encourage production and export of more sophisticated value added products requires purposeful intervention in the industrial economy. - SAnews.gov.za